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Ignoring the weather is a big gap in the analysis of sporting events

If you look at the forecasts from leading cappers, they rarely use weather reports. Sometimes users ignore this factor and classify it as secondary. This is a big mistake, especially when betting on football matches. There are a number of nuances that should be taken into account, for example, windy weather, watering the lawn, precipitation, and more. If you can figure out how these factors influence the final result of a fight, you can improve your predictions.

 

Which sports depend on the weather?

When analyzing a sports meeting, it is necessary to pay attention to a number of important nuances, for example, the athletes’ form, motivation, history of personal confrontations, statistics, weather conditions. According michezo-yakubeti.com sometimes it is precipitation or strong wind that makes the difference. There are disciplines that are not affected by weather. These are the sports that are held in indoor areas:

 

  • darts;
  • basketball ;
  • hockey;
  • curling and more.

 

Such disciplines can be influenced by elements or cataclysms, which cause the confrontation to be transferred. The weather directly affects the confrontations that take place on open fields: football, baseball, biathlon, tennis and others. These factors can influence not only individual confrontations, but also tournaments. Therefore, before placing a bet on short-term markets, you will need to look at the weather forecast.

The source of such information is the websites of Hydrometeorological Centers. It is recommended to use only official services. There you will need to select the city or area where the desired stadium is located. Modern services are able to provide weather forecasts with an accuracy of up to 1 hour. When betting live, users can pay attention to the match center; many bookmakers offer detailed data on current weather conditions.

 

Features of betting on football depending on the weather

Totals in football are one of the most popular markets. If teams that profess a defensive style of play oppose each other on the field, then bettors make bets on TM. Football is an unpredictable discipline, so the club can always score a lot of goals. At the same time, the probability of a successful game tends to zero when the game takes place in heavy rain, and the lawn is not prepared for such conditions. In this situation, the optimal bet option would be TM 2.5.

If the lawn becomes heavy, then defensive clubs will not attack at all. Their main goal is not to miss a goal, since the chances of winning back will be minimal. Athletes on sticky turf often suffer muscle injuries and bruises, so by the end of the first half of the game they will experience severe fatigue.

If in such a situation one of the teams realizes one chance, for example, after a long-range shot, then this goal will be the only one. Then the team will put a bus on the gate and go into deep defense. In such meetings, more than 2 goals are very rarely recorded. Often such meetings end in a draw or minimal victory for one of the opponents.

There are situations when it is worth considering TB strokes. For example, if there are difficult weather conditions and the field has become heavy, then it is very difficult for performers to carry out their usual combinations. Football players stop performing attacks correctly. Therefore, attacking teams begin to use long-range strikes. In this case, you can bet on the total number of shots on target.

Football players cannot get closer to the opponent’s goal, so they shoot from a distance of 20–25 meters. Here they rely on luck, their own skill and the mistake of the goalkeeper, who will not be able to hit the slippery ball. In practice, this approach will bring income if there are attacking teams on the field. In this case, the teams cannot show a high-quality game, so they begin to shoot at goal from afar.

It is also worth considering situations when a football match is played in freezing temperatures. In many countries, matches do not take place during the cold season, but in the northern and eastern regions of Europe, low air temperatures can be observed in autumn and spring. Bettors can take advantage of this situation, especially in European cup games, when a local team takes on a team from a country with a mild climate. The guests will not be able to adapt to the new conditions and will not show their best game.

 

The influence of weather on tennis matches

Another discipline that seriously depends on weather conditions is tennis. Even light rain can cause the referee to suspend the match. Quite often, bad weather leads to the disruption of tournaments, which is why tennis players play several matches within a day. This situation leads to the fact that one athlete enters the court full of energy, and the other a couple of hours after a serious battle.

Pauses in play due to rain also have a psychological impact on tennis players. If before such a break the underdog leads the score, then the favorite enters the court more motivated and smashes the opponent. If there is a retractable roof over the stands, then the gameplay can continue after it is closed. This nuance will have an impact on some game factors, for example, the rebound of the ball. Top tennis player Roger Federer feels more confident in such conditions.

Players' actions may be affected by wind. This leads to athletes making adjustments to the game. The wind affects the trajectory of the ball. When strong impulses are observed, it gives some performers an advantage, while others fail. You can also note the extremely elevated temperature, which affects sensitive athletes. They are not adapted to such conditions, so they can withdraw from the tournament or lose, and if the conditions are too unbearable, the judges postpone the fight.

 

The influence of weather conditions in other sports

Each discipline, which is held outdoors, has its own characteristics. For example, in archery and biathlon, snow has a direct impact on the final result. Due to heavy rainfall, the difference in performer class and visibility are reduced. In many sports, matches are suspended due to heavy fog. At any level of precipitation, matches in the following disciplines may be canceled:

 

  • golf;
  • cricket;
  • baseball;
  • auto racing IndyCar, NASCAR.

 

In golf, strong winds can blow away athletes' equipment and also change the direction of the ball. Therefore, performers have to choose other methods of striking. When running, a headwind slows down the athletes, while a tailwind helps them. In many aquatic disciplines, wind plays a key role.

 

The influence of weather on major sports

The final result of outdoor matches directly depends on different weather conditions, for example, heat, cold, snow, rain, wind. In European football there are many performers from Latin America who find it difficult to adapt to low temperatures. When a bettor places bets, he must understand in detail how weather conditions affect the outcome of the game.

 

Heat and inferno

A striking example of such situations in football are the world championships, which are held in the summer. An exception was made for the 2022 World Cup - the tournament was held in winter, but in Qatar. The postponement of the games was due to the fact that in the summer this country experiences simply unbearable heat. In December, temperatures in Qatar can rise to 30 degrees Celsius, which also had an impact on football players.

Let's look at how heat affects athletes. Under severe stress, there is a lack of oxygen in the muscles and skin. Energy begins to come out along with sweat, as the body fails to lower its temperature. These factors directly affect the level of performance. Scientists have found that when the temperature is more than 30 degrees, football players’ movement intensity decreases by 26%.

The pace of the game begins to subside, as does the concentration of the players on the field. Football players make mistakes and make inaccurate passes. At the same time, the accuracy of shots on goal becomes minimal. The heat primarily affects attacking players, who must think quickly and move more on the turf. From this we can conclude that the higher the temperature, the fewer realized moments.

If the country is experiencing heat and football matches are not postponed, then you should not expect a spectacular game. For example, in Spain, during abnormally high temperatures, the TM 2.5 market often takes place before sunset. Bettors can find such meetings and make profitable bets.

 

Rain - ball speed and heavy turf

Rain has a negative effect on some people. When Messi was playing for Barcelona, ​​a viral photo appeared that was associated with the helplessness of his team. Then the Catalans lost to Real Madrid in the derby, and Messi was shivering from the cold. Therefore, rain can have an impact on even the best athletes in the world.

Some coaches ask to water the field before the match, while others categorically refuse. For example, when Jose Mourinho coached Chelsea, he asked not to irrigate the lawn before the confrontation with Barca. This is due to the fact that on a wet field the speed of the ball increases by 1.5 times.

Analysts have done a lot of work when studying how rain affects confrontations in the Premier League. All teams in the championship have an excellent condition of their home lawn; any moisture is absorbed instantly. There are currently no situations where a match is canceled due to poor field conditions. At the same time, it rains constantly in England.

In practice, experts have noticed that in rainy weather it is profitable to predict the total number of corners. In England, October is one of the rainiest months, so most matches in the Premier League during this period involve at least 9 corner kicks in one game. By conducting additional analytics and familiarizing yourself with the weather forecast, you can make such profitable forecasts.

 

Wind

In 1997, one of the most inexplicable and spectacular goals in football was scored. Brazil national team player Roberto Carlos converted the free kick. French goalkeeper Fabien Barthez couldn't even react to the flight of the ball. Later, professionals analyzed the features of this blow from a scientific point of view. They were able to prove that such a trajectory was directly related to the current atmospheric pressure, distance and trajectory, and that the wind had a special influence on it.

If there is no storm warning, referees do not mark football matches. Therefore, the presence of wind should always be taken into account when making a forecast. This type of weather causes the ball's trajectory to change during shots, causing many top serves to be inaccurate. It is simply impossible for football players to adapt to such conditions, so the game plan cannot be executed.

Bettors must know whether the team is playing against the wind or with it. Here you will need to take into account not only the acceleration that gives the ball such a flow, but also the resistance of the performers. If football players run against the wind, they will spend more energy, unlike their opponents. At the end of the meeting, such a difference will be obvious.

Nov 1 '23 · 0 comments